While scholars disagree about whether and how much campaigns persuade voters, they increasingly agree that campaigns inform voters about the candidates and help voters bring their votes in line with their interests. Some argue that campaigns serve mostly to help voters bring their chokes in line with preexisting political predispositions. This paper examines the crystallization of voter preferences during the 2008 presidential election campaign. The authors rely on polls from each month of the election year campaign to assess whether and how the structure of vote choice changed. The results show that certain election day predictors of the vote-especially party identification-became increasingly important predictors of preferences during the election cycle. Even the increase in party eff...
Missouri's 11 presidential electoral votes might not seem like much when measured against more populous states. But judging from the number of visits by presidential and vice presidential candidates that Missouri has received, the state's status as a battleground seems unchallenged. The leaders of the Republican and Democratic tickets repeatedly campaigned in Missouri in October, reinforcing the state's importance in the 2008 presidential election. Independent public opinion polls indicate the race between Republican Sen. John McCain of Arizona and Democratic Sen. Barack Obama of Illinois is a statistical tie.
This report examines accuracy and bias in national and subnational preelection polls conducted during the 2008 presidential election cycle. The analyses indicate that, despite concerns about poll methodology voiced during the election cycle, polls across the board generally performed quite well in 2008. That said, concerns about poll methodologies should not be wholly and readily dismissed. While the evidence suggests that improvements in accuracy and declining bias in preelection polls as a whole, compared to previous election cycles, sources of inaccuracy and bias can also be detected using 2008 polls.
Voter-suppression tactics utilizing text messages and social networking Web sites specifically targeted new voters Tuesday as millions were drawn to the polls in the 2008 presidential election, voting rights groups said. Messages were sent to users of the Web site Facebook falsely stating either that Democrats were to vote Wednesday or that the whole election had been postponed a day, they said.
Fewer than 753,000 Oklahomans showed up at the polls on Feb. 5, 2008, for the presidential preferential primary election, in a state with a population of 3.6 million. By some estimates, that exercise in democracy cost Oklahoma taxpayers about $705 million. State Rep. Charles Key, R-Oklahoma City, estimated the state spends as much as $3 million on primary elections. There are more important places for that money to go in this current budget climate," said Key. "Nationwide, only 21 percent of taxpayers participate in presidential primaries. Why should the other 80 percent have to pick up the cost?
[...] the papers cover a wide variety of topics, from influences on the vote, to campaign dynamics, to election rhetoric, to the role of race. [...] these papers make use of a variety of data, including old workhorse sources, such as the American National Election Studies and election data, but also data from the National Annenberg Election Study and the 2008 Cooperative Congressional Election Study, as well as data on presidential rhetoric and other presidential preference polls.
Obama's debate strategy: Don't screw up HENDERSON, Nev. -- President Barack Obama has one mission heading into his first debate Wednesday with Republican Mitt Romney: Don't screw things up. Less than five weeks from Election Day, Obama has political momentum and an edge in polls of the battleground states that will determine the election. But he's sure to face a blistering challenge from Romney, who needs to use the debate in Denver to change the trajectory of the race. Both parties say the first debate traditionally helps the challenger, whose stature tends to rise in the eyes of many voters by simply appearing on stage as the alternative. Seeking to mitigate that effect, Obama aides are working with the president on keeping command of the debate while not being overly aggressive. Th...
...1 issue - ahead of Wednesday's presidential debate. All that's leaving Romney open to criticis...
LETTERS TO THE EDITOR Pitts 'practicing the politics of racial envy'
...He knows that according to the 2008 presidential election exit polls, 55 percent of wh...
This research examines influences on the 2008 presidential election. With an unpopular Republican president, an unpopular war, and a slumping economy, 2008 looked to be a good year for the Democrats. On the other hand, open seat elections historically have been close and less affected by retrospective considerations. Moreover, partisanship, ideological polarization, and contested nominations in both parties inclined the electorate to an even division. McCain's more centrist record and Obama's race also seemed to favor the Republicans. Taken together, these factors set the stage for a closely decided election. It was shaping up that way in the polls until the Wall Street meltdown hit in mid-September. It was the "game changer" that tipped the election to Obama.
As polls showed his formerly huge lead in Tennessee dwindling to almost nothing, Republican presidential candidate Rick Santorum attended church services Sunday in the Memphis area and lunched on barbecue at Corky's before heading to Oklahoma. Across the state, in Knoxville, national GOP front-runner Mitt Romney made his first visit to the state in several weeks looking to score a surprise in Tennessee as recent polls showed his national lead growing and his standing in the South improving ahead of this week's Super Tuesday primaries.
... , although the presidential primaries in 2008 saw about 80 percent of voters wait until election...
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