As congressional campaigns enter the post-Labor Day homestretch, there is widespread agreement that the 2006 elections pose the greatest threat to the Republican House majority since it came to power in 1994. Yet for all the talk of an impending tidal wave, not nearly enough attention has been paid to the power of incumbency -- and the role it could play in safeguarding the GOP majority. Traditionally, the power of incumbency has been rooted in the limitless fund-raising and pork barreling opportunities. All those advantages still apply, only today they are amplified by recent advances in information technology. The GOP majority is better equipped to withstand one than any other congressional majority in history.
Tom Crowson scored a solid victory over fellow Republican Dawn Courtney in Tuesday's primary for the right to face U.S. Rep. Brian Baird, D-Vancouver, in November. Baird, who has represented the 3rd Congressional District since January 1999, buried Cheryl Crist to win the Democratic nomination for the fifth time in eight years.
He's been there long enough that he's managed to anger just about everybody at one time or another. It's the curse of the incumbent, the counter to the great weight of political debts owed and name recognition won that is the incumbent's advantage. This is by far the strongest challenge the mayor has faced in any of his races and clearly the hometown crowd is a bit tired of him, witness the number of gigantic McPherson signs painting New Town red with exhortations to think BIG. Only [Tom Oosterhoudt] seems stuck in the groove, obsessing over the he-said, he-said of the Watermark issue in one of his campaign ads. His other campaign ad, stressing the range of his influence, mentions the words "international," "national" and "the U.S." before it mentions Key West. What is clearly eviden...
WHENEVER someone resigns from a city council seat mid-term, the murmur you hear is the rest of the council counting votes. The majority huddle up and decide on a citizen to appoint who will vote with them, and more importantly, who'll run in the next election with the advantage of "incumbent" next to her or his name. That's politics. Even local governments are infected by politics over policies. But there is another way.
In a year of exceptionally low voter turnout, several incumbent candidates enjoyed a clear advantage in Monroe County, and some local judicial candidates on multiple lines took the advantage over single-party candidates. Election Day 2009 may mark the lowest voter turnout on record in Monroe County, Peter Quinn, a Monroe County Board of Elections commissioner, said Wednesday.
The palace guard surrounding Erie County Executive Chris Collins is chanting against a poll showing Democratic challenger Mark C. Poloncarz in a dead heat with Collins one month before voters elect the next county executive. The Collins cadre howls, among other things, that Siena Research Institute pollsters gave too much weight in their mathematical calculations to the opinions of City of Buffalo voters when this isn't a year for Buffalonians to turn out in droves. Of course the Collins-camp Republicans would say that. In a contemptible gambit, the county Republican Party has actively discouraged Buffalo voters from going to the polls next month. The political parties are to place candidates in front of the electorate. That's their contribution to the democratic process. Ex...
Satisfaction predicts and drives key consumer behaviors, among them repeat purchases and word-of-mouth advocacy. The paper mainly examined the assessment of cognitive dissonance (CD) scale (Sweeney, 2000), dissonance segments (Soutar and Sweeney, 2003), consumer disposition toward satisfaction (Grace 2005), obstacles in measuring dissonance (Salzberger, 2005), and the CD mediation link between positive reinforcement (Mao, Oppewal, and Walker, 2006) and satisfaction. This study explored how cognitive lock-in arises when customers acquire incumbent-specific skills (Murray, and Haubl, 2007) giving the incumbent an advantage over its competitors. The purpose of the study is to perform a qualitative analysis of the presence, magnitude, and effects of CD over each beta, gamma, and delta stage...
The Chula Vista Elementary School Board presides over an area that encompasses 103 square miles representing 318,800 residents with a student population of approximately 26,800 students. Yet all the school representatives come from the community of Bonita which all told is 5 square miles and is located in the north east cul-de-sac of the South County. In fact, the city of Chula Vista doesn't have a representative sitting on their school board. Four of the five Chula Vista School Board incumbents have more than a decade of service. Patrick Judd takes home the prize for longest tenure, when his term expires, it will be 24 years on the board. There are no term limits and no campaign contribution limits, which gives the incumbent an unfair advantage. Once elected it is rare if ever an incum...
The Republicans' top lieutenant in the state Senate indicated in a fundraising letter sent recently to supporters that he would have a fighting chance if he decided to run for Congress against a Democrat incumbent in Arizona's District 8. An unverified poll conducted on Dec.3-4 among 300 voters showed that in a match-up between Bee and U.S. Rep. Gabrielle Giffords, the incumbent would hold a 36-percent-to-30-percent advantage, according to data released by Bee's exploratory team, which has been active for months.
WASHINGTON - President Bush is using Air Force One for re- election travel more heavily than any predecessor, wringing maximum political mileage from a perk of office paid for by taxpayers. While Democratic rival John Kerry digs into his campaign bank account to charter a plane to roam the country, Bush often travels at no cost to his campaign simply by declaring a trip "official" travel rather than "political.
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