... a crushing defeat in the 2010 midterm elections, with Republicans gaining 64 House seats to win th.... Background: The 2008 Election . Public opinion toward Obama during his ... party identification, ideology, and demographic questions. Opinion on the health care bill is the .... [FIGURE 11 OMITTED] . Analysis of aggregate election data confirms that the 2010 ...
While scholars disagree about whether and how much campaigns persuade voters, they increasingly agree that campaigns inform voters about the candidates and help voters bring their votes in line with their interests. Some argue that campaigns serve mostly to help voters bring their chokes in line with preexisting political predispositions. This paper examines the crystallization of voter preferences during the 2008 presidential election campaign. The authors rely on polls from each month of the election year campaign to assess whether and how the structure of vote choice changed. The results show that certain election day predictors of the vote-especially party identification-became increasingly important predictors of preferences during the election cycle. Even the increase in party eff...
...Relatedly, Gelman and King's (1993) analysis of 1988 shows that the effects of party identificaation and various demographic variables on presidential vote preferences increas...
Thomas Frank asserts that the Republican Party built a winning coalition in recent elections by convincing white working-class voters to cast their ballots on the basis of cultural wedge issues. Larry Bartels, conversely, argues that economic issues remain paramount to white working-class voters. The authors contend that the white working class is a more diverse bloc than both Frank's and Bartels's analyses suggest. Using data from the 2004 National Election Pool, their results show that there are significant political differences between white working-class voters in union households and those in nonunion households.
...-class voters from the Democratic Party (Cook 2008; Edsall and Edsall 1991; Freedman 1996; Huckfeldt ..., and concludes that the "statistical analysis continues to demonstrate that material economic co...We also include controls for demographic variables that influence public opinion and politi...
...CITIZENS UNITED V. FEDERAL ELECTION COMM'N. SUPREME COURT OF THE UNITED STATES. CITIZE... In January 2008, appellant Citizens United, a nonprofit corporatio..., a candidate for her party’s Presidential nomination. Anticipating that it would make Hillar... with the precedent’s reasoning and analysis. The Buckley Court did not invoke the overbreadth ...Whether the population and demographic statistics in a proposed viewing area consisted of...
...-oriented venues (MacManus and Quecan 2008; Stokes 2005). They are significant surrogates for... how attitudes differ across key demographics, including sex, partisanship, and age. Finally, we... we believe that it merits more extensive analysis for several important reasons. First, studies have...
...The Article's analysis of disparate impact's constitutionality from this ... with general recognition of the demographics of neighborhoods; allocating resources for special... More Perfect Union," Philadelphia, March 18, 2008 (206) . At a crucial juncture in his campaign for ...," and Voting Rights: Evaluating Election-District Appearances After Shaw v. Reno, 92 MICH. ..."[t]his law will not lead to quotas," Presidential Statement on Signing the Civil Rights Act of 1991,...
EPA and NHTSA, on behalf of the Department of Transportation, are issuing this joint proposal to further reduce greenhouse gas emissions and improve fuel economy for light-duty vehicles for model years 2017-2025. This proposal extends the National Program beyond the greenhouse gas and corporate average fuel economy standards set for model years 2012-2016. On May 21, 2010, President Obama issued a Presidential Memorandum requesting that NHTSA and EPA develop through notice and comment rulemaking a coordinated National Program to reduce greenhouse gas emissions of light-duty vehicles for model years 2017- 2025. This proposal, consistent with the President's request, responds to the country's critical need to address global climate change and to reduce oil consumption. NHTSA is proposing C...
... state of the research on statistical analysis of historical crash data?. 4. How do the agenc... program for light trucks for model years 2008-2011 and passenger car CAFE standards for MY 2011.... CAFE standard so that the manufacturers' election to avail themselves of the permitted flexibilities... (beyond what can be explained by demographic variables such as age and gender), and statistical...
.... We examine the elections of 2000 and 2004, two years that saw the highest l...Analysis of Federal Election Commission spending data by Ra... what we know about the social and demographic bases of each party's coalition, we certainly woul...
This paper addresses the enormous opportunity and promise that the new American President, President Barack Obama must address as he provides a new form of leadership and charts a new, more worldview American administration; one that he has announced to be more collaborative, and inclusive. The paper also provides an introspection into America's continuing difficulty at resolving the issue of Race relations, and the limiting impact that it is having on America fulfilling the opportunity for unleashing the country's full capacity for creativity and innovation. The issue of Race could retard America at establishing a foundation for helping to shape America's global competitive strategy, and for reaffirming America's leadership as a balanced and reasonable world power; one that retains the...
... yes, to the extent that 61% of Whites, in 2008, by excising their popular imagination, have come ...The election of Barack Obama as President of the United States ... himself take a longer view of what a presidential administration can do, his legacy might outshine m... a level of creativity to bear on problem analysis, alternative generation of ideas and selection, as... societies; profound and fundamental demographic, cultural, social, governmental and economic chang...
... apply the lens of public opinion to our analysis and focus on characteristics of the Belarusian reg... and authoritarian regimes in 2010 than in 2008. (2) This phenomenon is global, but the entrenchme...A hotly contested election in 1994 that brought the current president, Alexan... voters--and indicate pronounced demographic differences among these groups. (15) The first gro...Presidential supporters believe that life in Belarus is no wors...
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